• Humbled Trader
  • Posts
  • IPO Hype, Low Floats & Momentum Movers- Weekend Watchlist

IPO Hype, Low Floats & Momentum Movers- Weekend Watchlist

Humbled Trader's day trading & swing trading ideas

Author

Humbled Trader
June 22, 2025

‎

Markets ended the week modestly lower, with the S&P 500 hovering around break-even, as investors grappled with escalating geopolitical tension in the Middle East. Concerns over a potential U.S. military decision paired with rising oil prices weighed on sentiment. Despite some relief from a 90-day tariff pause, uncertainty around trade negotiations persisted, and the Federal Reserve's recent "patient" stance—highlighted by upward adjustments to inflation expectations and a downgrade in growth forecasts—kept markets cautious

‎TLDR Stock Market Weekly Update - June 20, 2025

📉Market Trends

  • Choppy Week: Higher oil, global unrest, and a hesitant Fed kept stocks in a tight range.

  • Tariff Developments: The July 9 deadline for tariff pauses is approaching, but extensions are possible for trading partners in negotiations.

📊 Technical Levels & Market Signals

  • Sideways Action: The S&P 500 entered a consolidation phase after early strength, signaling reduced momentum.

  • Teflon Market: Despite lingering worries, market reactions have been muted—classic "climb the wall of worry" behavior.

💰 Inflation & Consumer Confidence

  • Fed's Dot Plot: Projected inflation revised up, growth forecasts reduced; rates held steady at 4.25–4.50%.

  • Retail & Housing Softness: Headline retail sales fell 0.9% MoM, but control group showed healthier gains; housing data remained weak.

🏛️ Federal Reserve & Interest Rates

  • Patient Fed: The central bank signaled a cautious approach, with no imminent rate cuts despite rising inflation expectations.

  • Yields Edge Lower: Treasury yields eased modestly as investors priced in slower growth and potential easing later in the year.

Sources: Charles Schwab

‎

📅 Coming up next week…

Notable Earnings Reports:

  • Monday, June 23: FDS

  • Tuesday, June 24: CCL, FDX, BB

  • Wednesday, June 25: MU, LEVI, GIS

  • Thursday, June 26: WBA, MKC, NKE

  • Friday, June 27: APOG

Sources: Earnings Whispers, Charles Schwab

‎

‎

AAOI $23.45

  • The stock broke through a multi-month resistance on Friday, and also the 200SMA on the daily.

  • Leaning cautiously bullish on this name and looking to join the trend to the upside if it can hold the 200SMA and consolidate for another move higher.

  • The key level to watch is the $23.5 area on the daily. If the stock holds the 200SMA and breaks through the KL, we could see a steady consolidation to test previous highs toward $27-$28s.

  • This is purely a technical trade idea.

  • Position Disclosure: No position

‎ 

CRCL

  • This recent IPO name made another all time highs breakout after the Senate’s passing of Stablecoin legislation last week.

  • The stock has now surged more than 300% since its IPO at the beginning of the month.

  • It’s starting to get extended just on a technical basis. However, the stock has been very easy to borrow. It trapped and squeezed many shorts on the way up the last two days.

  • We could see another gap up and squeeze early next Monday or Tuesday before the actual first red day prevails.

  • The first red day short is what I am patiently waiting and looking for. The current level I am watching is the $230s intraday level from Friday. However, the stock could easily gap up another 10% next Monday or Tuesday.

  • As long as the as the stock holds green and above the opening price, it’s not a valid short confirmation. This short idea is not for most new traders.

  • This is purely a technical day trade idea.

  • Position Disclosure: No position

‎‎

SSII $6.92

  • This is a very risky and volatile name. It’s not suitable for newer traders.

  • The stock went parabolic to the upside intraday and was unable to sustain most of its gains. It sold off into the close on Friday.

  • Leaning bearish on this name as long as it stays below the $8-$8.5 key area on the daily.

  • If the stock retests KL and fails next week, I’m looking to short it after failed breakouts to the downside, potentially back down to $6 and under.

  • Position Disclosure: No Position

🗞️ Market movers you might’ve missed:

- Micron Technology, Inc. ($MU) Micron rose ahead of earnings as investors bet on strong AI memory demand and U.S. expansion plans.
- How we traded: Backside Long Strategy

- Reddit, Inc. ($RDDT) Reddit gained after launching new AI ad tools to help marketers track and boost engagement.
- How we traded: Gap Up Reversal Long Strategy

‎

Ready to Elevate Your Trading this year?
Check out the Humbled Trader community!

Trade alongside and engage in market discussions with like-minded traders, and learn from our team of experienced trading coaches.

Your success story could be featured in one of our next “Top Trades of the Week” showcases! Learn more about our community and what we offer by clicking the button below.

Not sure how to select a tool that fits your needs? Reply to this email with your trading style, and we will be happy to help!

‎

‎